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降息预期反复，铜价维持震荡
上周，铜价呈现震荡走势，价格重心略有回升，运行至79000元一线附近。宏观层面，市场情绪有所好转，降息预期的抬升推动了交易重心上移。然而，值得注意的是，目前降息预期仍处于多方博弈阶段，尤其需关注8月底鲍威尔表态带来的态度变化。
从美国经济数据来看，“硬数据”已现边际转弱趋势。尽管消费者物价指数（CPI）尚无明显波动，但生产者物价指数（PPI）已呈抬高态势，同时制造业水平降至9个月新低，并连续三个月处于低迷状态。受9月降息预期博弈影响，铜价震荡反复。而在国内，市场风险偏好高涨，即便现实需求较弱，但政策预期对价格的支撑作用更为强劲。
产业方面，受印尼铜精矿出口因素影响，加工费虽略有ŏ..
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