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《降息预期回落,铜价弱震荡》
近期,铜市场呈现出与宏观经济预期紧密关联的态势。周一,沪铜主力围绕79000元窄幅震荡,伦铜夜盘稍有回落。国内近月结构维持平水,当日电解铜现货市场成交好转,下游维持正常补库,内贸铜升至升水225元/吨 。
从宏观层面来看,市场高度聚焦鲍威尔在全球央行年会上的表态。历史上,鲍威尔多次于该场合发表重要政策声明。当前,市场普遍乐观预期9月降息基本确定,且未来美联储将延续宽松路径。然而,华尔街投行发出警告,指出美国经济面临通胀压力与就业放缓并存的局面。若即刻降息,风险较高。鲍威尔或依旧秉持其一贯的谨慎风格,短期ņ..
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