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铜市交投重心缓降,等待欧美制造业PMI初值

周三,沪铜市场呈现震荡下调态势,加权指数交投于MA60日均线下方。市场整体对经济增长风险保持谨慎评估。当晚,欧美新一轮制造业PMI初值成为关注焦点。在这种形势下,建议持有沪铜7.9万上方的空单。

沪铝市场今日震荡偏强。华东现货升水20元,铝锭和铝棒的社会库存较周一分别下降1.1万吨和0.8万吨,下游开工企稳,预计年内库存大概率维持在偏低水平。沪铝短期料维持在20300 – 21000元区间震荡。铸造铝合金价格跟随沪铝波动,废铝货源偏紧,尽管铝合金行业利润不佳,但相对铝价具有一定韧性,现货与AL跨品种价差有收窄可能。氧化铝运行产能处于历史高位,行业库存和上期所仓单持续上升,供应过剩逐渐显现,各地现货指数阴跌,氧化铝偏弱震荡,3000元位置存在支撑。

沪锌市场受供增需弱基本面主导,偏弱震荡。SMM0#锌对近月盘面贴水40元/吨,期限结构变化有望提升持货商交仓积极性,国内锌社库仍有累库预期。因关税及消费前置影响,消费淡季特征明显,资金多头入场谨慎。政策面虽存Ĺ..

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