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当地时间上周六,日本央行行长植田和男于美国怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会上发表观点,认为日本薪资上涨势头正从大公司向外蔓延。随着日本就业市场趋紧,薪资上涨或推动加息加速,这使他对日本央行加息前景持乐观态度。

日本央行去年退出长达10年的大规模刺激计划,今年1月将利率上调至0.5% 。但自4月美国特朗普政府对日本提高关税后,因日本属出口依赖型经济,关税影响巨大,日本央行暂停加息周期。不过,近期关税风险减轻,外界普遍预计今年晚些时候日本央行将重启加息。

植田和男指出,尽管日本适龄工作人口减少,“根深蒂固的通缩预期”长期阻碍企业提价与涨薪,致使薪资增长停滞数十年。然而,当下情况已变,新冠疫情引发全球通胀,打破日本通缩平衡,工资开始上涨,劳动力短缺成为紧迫经济问题。值得注意的是,工资增长正从大型企业向中小企业蔓延。他还表示,除非出现重大ȴ..

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