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预防式降息预期升温，铜价企稳反弹

近期，铜价市场出现显著变化。周一，沪铜主力企稳反弹，伦铜在9800上方偏强震荡，国内近月合约转向C结构。然而，当日电解铜现货市场成交状况不佳，下游因价格高企，观望氛围浓厚，内贸铜升水降至140元/吨。

从宏观层面来看，国际政治经济关系复杂多变。特朗普拒绝韩国修改双边关税协议提议，坚持对韩征收15%关税，美韩首脑会谈未达成共识。同时，特朗普表示将制裁欧盟执行《数字服务法案》的官员，因其认为该法案对美国科技公司造成沉重负担。而上周全球央行年会中，鲍威尔的鸽派立场影响深远，市场乐观预期美联储将敞开降息大门，政策转向宽松。美联储未来将更关注劳动力市场走向，视通胀潜在风险为非长期压力，并适时调整货币政策以应对经济下行风险。这ǧ..

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