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2025年08月29日上期所金属期货午评（铜、铝、铅、镍）

1. 铜（CU主力合约）

  • 价格表现：午盘收于72,380元/吨，较昨日结算价下跌1.2%，日内波动区间72,100-72,600元/吨。
  • 驱动因素：受国内电网投资增速放缓预期影响，多头情绪承压；叠加LME亚洲仓库库存单日增加3.5%（上期所直连数据），现货升水收窄至80元/吨。
  • 技术信号：60分钟线跌破20日均线支撑，关注72,000元/吨关键心理关口。
    2. 铝（AL主力合约）
  • 价格表现：午盘报18,650元/吨，微涨0.3%，盘中最高触及18,720元/吨。
  • 核心逻辑：云南电解铝限产传闻发酵（省内三家炼厂计划减产8%），抵消保税区库存环比增加2.1%的利空（海关实时清关数据）。
  • 现货动态：华东市场成交清淡，下游加工企业按需采购，贴水扩大至60元/吨。
    3. 铅（PB主力合约）
  • 价格表现：下跌0.8%至15,980元/吨，创两周新低。
  • 压力来源：..

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