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意外停产突袭铁矿飘红 钢价是否即将改变当前,国内宏观经济处于政策真空阶段,黑色产业受限于产影响也渐近尾声,成材价格的走势更多取决于需求的实际状况。值得关注的是,8月中国制造业PMI数据仍低于50荣枯线,表明制造业回升速度迟缓,建筑业商务活动指数较上月回落1.5个百分点。尽管8月25日上海优化调整房地产政策措施,深圳短期内跟进概率增强,但对螺纹钢需求的实质性提振有限。从7月房地产数据来看,房地产市场投资与施工的衰减态势,将持续抑制建筑钢材终端需求。

短期钢价上涨动力明显不足,基本面矛盾持续累积,卷螺盘面维持偏弱震荡运行,均收报十字星线。上海、武汉等多地市场螺纹钢价格下跌10 – 30元/吨。

宏观层面,习近平主持中俄蒙元首第七次会晤;商务部有关负责人解读《上海合作组织元首理事会关于支持多边贸易体制的ţ..降息幅度或超市场预期,基本预测为9月降息25个基点。

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