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宏观和基本面共振,沪突破8万关口

周二,沪铜主力合约震荡上行,伦铜突破万元上方关键阻力位。国内铜期货近月合约结构转向平水状态。周一,电解铜现货市场成交热度下降,下游以刚需补库为主,内贸铜升水降至220元/吨,昨日LME库存维持在15.8万吨。

从宏观层面来看,特朗普对美联储政策的干预不断加深,市场避险情绪逐渐升温,黄金价格再创历史新高。特朗普随意罢免美联储关键决策人物,极大动摇了市场对美元的信心,美元走弱进而提振了金属市场。同时,关于9月是否降息的讨论仍在持续。除传统货币政策外,市场预期白宫将出台一系列非常规措施以提振经济,如调整美联储资产负债表、改变通胀统计方式,甚至重估黄金储备来压低长期利率..

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