节点:炼铁/粗钢位置:中游情绪:利空参考度:10/10


6天5板引关注!反内卷风暴来袭,钢铁市场报复性拉涨近期,0013;央财经委员会第六次会议提出纵深推进全国统一大市场建设,治理企业低价无序竞争,推动落后产能退出。人民日报也强调破除“内卷式”竞争。受此影响,“反内卷”相关的光伏、钢铁、有色等板块逆势上扬,钢铁市场热度高,废钢市场也出现拉涨。

钢铁行业长期存在产能过剩、低价竞争、区域分割等问题,整体利润率偏低。2025 年 1 – 5 月虽有改善,但仍处于低利润状态。废钢作为钢铁重要原料,其价格与钢铁行业景气度紧密相连。此前去产能政策压制了废钢需求,而“反内卷”政策推进,有望改善行业供需结构,带来上涨契机。
一方面,政策推动落后产能退出,可提升废钢利用效率;另..
中小型钢厂因资金实力弱、抗风险差,首当其冲陷入多重困境,为维持运转低价抛售库存,加剧恶性竞争。综合来看,此次钢铁板块反弹更多是市场情绪与资金炒作,并非基本面改善。“反内卷”政策虽有望改善废钢行业供需结构,但政策落地需时间,行业发展仍面临诸多挑战。废钢行业未来或有向好趋势,但道路曲折,从业者需保持理性、谨慎前行。

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