节点:中游(冶炼、中间品)位置:中游情绪:利空参考度:5/10
《基本面矛盾不突出 镍价偏弱运行》
近期镍市场呈现出特定的运行态势。从市场走势来看,有色金属整体表现不佳。昨日有色金属普遍下跌,沪镍主力合约收跌0.89% ;隔夜基本金属多数收绿,沪镍收跌0.63%,伦镍收跌0.71%。
在现货市场方面,上海SMM金川镍、进口镍、电积镍升水情况各有不同,且部分品种升水有变动。这在一定程度上反映了现货市场的供需关系及活跃度。
投资逻辑上,印尼镍矿价格较为坚挺。部分镍铁产能再次转冰镍,预计后期镍铁供应及回流中国量会收缩。中国镍铁价格持平至特定价位附近,中国铁厂多处于亏损状态,而价涨使得钢厂利润持续修复。Ƀ..不锈钢厂维持减产,周内社会库存有所增加。在新能源领域,下游逐渐进入补库阶段,三元正极材料以销定产,产量环比增加。纯镍方面,近期中国外库存增加。
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