节点:中游(冶炼、中间品)位置:中游情绪:利空参考度:3/10
《宏观预期尤在 镍价低位反弹》
周二,镍价呈现偏弱运行态势,夜盘更是大幅回落。盘中主力合约增仓,将镍价从区间上沿打压至下沿,但尾盘在低位附近出现较多买盘,持仓量与成交量在收盘前显著释放。
从宏观层面来看,美联储将于周四公布利率决议,市场普遍预期美联储将降息25个基点。同时,特朗普将于年底确定美联储新任主席人选,在五位候选人中,前美联储理事沃什和国家经济委员会主任哈赛特被市场视为热门人选,且 “新任美联储主席” 或将在明年上任前对美联储货币决议产生影响。
镍市...印尼镍矿价格小幅上探,成本下方未见松动迹象。产业链延续分化格局,镍铁、不锈钢依旧承压,镍铁厂成本压力尤为突出。硫酸镍市场相对偏热,市场询价较多。电镍价格走弱后,市场询盘积极,下游采购有所兴起。
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虽宏观预期和基本面支撑镍价反弹,但美联储决议变数大,真能如愿反弹吗?