位置：中游情绪：利好参考度：4/10


北京时间今晚20:30，美国劳工部将公布7月非农就业数据，这是美国金融市场周三至周五“生死48小时”的最后一场关键事件。

当前，美股虽连续三日回落，但多数科技巨头出色财报与“鹰派”美联储形成多空对峙。这一平衡能否延续至今晚非农夜，投资者拭目以待。

从宏观角度，周四超预期的美国PCE物价指数，为美联储此前不降息决定提供支撑。不过，美联储肩负维持物价稳定与促进就业增长双重使命，今晚非农数据或成特朗普与鲍威尔的“角力点”。

据业内经济学家预期中值，7月新增非农就业人数预计放缓至11万（部分媒体调查为10.4万），失业率或从前月4.1%升至4.2%，薪资增速小幅攀升。华尔街对7月非农各指标预测差异大，若降至11万或以下，将是年内最差数据。“耳语”数字从12.5万下滑又回升至12万左右ϼ..

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