节点:中游(冶炼、中间品)位置:中游情绪:利空参考度:3/10


《过剩格局较为明显 镍价重心下移》

从期货市场来看,沪镍主力合约价格出现变动。昨日沪镍主力合约收盘价较之前有所下跌,显示市场价格波动。

在供应端,印尼政府采取了两项重要举措。一方面,暂停镍冶炼项目建设许可,但鉴于当前镍冶炼产能过剩显著,短期内对整体供应影响有限,后续需密切关注镍矿RKAB配额审批的具体数量,因其对供应格局影响深远。另一方面,印尼加大对非法采矿打击力度,这或进一步限制当地镍矿供应量,对镍的整体供应产生潜在影响 。

需求端呈现出不同态势。现货需求相对疲软,下游采购以满足刚需为主,缺乏强劲的需求增长动力。不锈钢需求保持相对稳定,而新能源领域由于三元锂电增长乏力,近期对镍的需求增长缓慢,未能有效拉动ɕ..

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