节点:中游(冶炼、中间品)位置:中游情绪:利空参考度:4/10


沪铜减仓震荡,关注支撑韧性

国投期货分析,当前沪铜市场呈现减仓震荡态势,其支撑韧性值得关注。

国内铜精加工费长单谈判备受瞩目。智利Antofagasta与日本的谈判尚无实际进展,现货进口铜精矿指数报价仍在 -40美元下方。11月国内精铜产出预计延续环比下降趋势。上月印尼Grasberg宣布不可抗力,拉高伦铜升水,国内精铜出口单月扩至6.59万吨。同时,受国内再生铜税费进展不畅影响,当月非铜进口超预期达19.66万吨,前十月供应量累计增长1.99%。

消费端方面,10月国内主要家电产量多以环比下降为主。空调出现负增长,单月产出减少两成,冰箱环比下降一成。高铜价制约了订单释放,市场对年底订单表现较为关注...

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