
节点:中游(冶炼、中间品)位置:中游情绪:利空参考度:7/10
镍价连续第三日上涨,因全球最大生产国印度尼西亚可能减少供应,延续了从八个月低点的反弹势头。周五该金属涨幅一度达1.5%,两天前印尼提议在2026年削减镍矿产量。该国政府明年工作计划预算预计产量约2.5亿吨,低于今年3.79亿吨的目标。
此次减产计划是对镍价暴跌的回应。这种用于不锈钢和电动汽车电池的金属,过去三年在伦敦金属交易所的价格已下跌约一半,原因是印尼和中国的产量超过了全球需求。中国朔和资产管理公司分析师高银表示,在镍价已跌至印尼生产成本附近之际,印尼的计划对看空投资者构成“风险”。她还称,投资者退出铜、铝等基本金属套利交易,也可能推动了本周的涨势。
麦格理表示,印尼镍矿举措可能导致全球供应减少35%。据彭博社Technoz援引印尼镍矿商协会秘书长Meidy Katrin Lengkey的话报道,除了拟议的开采削减外,印尼能..此举将把钴等副产品列为单独商品并征收特许权使用费。
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