节点:下游(终端消费/应用)位置:下游情绪:利好参考度:9/10


锂矿多头认为储能系统将成为电池金属锂未来重要需求增长点,有望推动全球市场在多年供应过剩后重新走向平衡。尽管电动汽车目前仍是锂最大用户,但花旗、瑞银、伯恩斯坦等机构及分析师指出,到2026年储能系统需求增速将超过电动汽车,甚至可能使明年市场陷入供不应求。亚当斯情报公司分析师克里斯·威廉姆斯称,电动汽车普及相对成熟,储能技术发展仍是锂需求最大变动因素,2026年尤为明显。

过去三年全球锂市场持续供应过剩,电动汽车需求增速低于预期,新矿产能释放节奏与需求不匹配,今年现货价格波动剧烈,虽从6月四年低点回升50%,但仍不足2022年末价格的六分之一。电动汽车行业扩张面临挑战,中国市场趋于成熟,美国销售前景不确定,特朗普政府放宽燃油效率标准以减少电动车生产激励,西方车企正重新审视战略。

电池储能成为锂需求重要驱动因素。近年大型电池设施建设成本下降ϼ..

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