节点:下游(终端消费/应用)位置:下游情绪:利空参考度:8/10
美国2024年四季度实际GDP年化季环比终值录得0.5%,低于市场预期的0.7%及初值0.7%,这一下修反映该季度经济动能较此前估算更为疲弱。
衡量通胀压力的核心个人消费支出(PCE)物价指数年化季环比终值为2.7%,与市场预期及初值持平,未出现意外波动。尽管四季度GDP数据不及预期,白宫国家经济委员会主任哈塞特仍表示,2025年美国经济有望实现4%至5%的增长目标。
经济增速不及预期难以改变美联储持续观望的政策预期。当前,除..
前纽约联储主席比尔·杜德利指出,在能源供应冲击的规模与持续时长尚不明朗之前,美联储将维持观望姿态。油价早前突破每桶100美元,未来数月以核心PCE价格指数衡量的同比通胀率或接近4%;但美国3月非农就业数据表现强劲,经济仍具韧性,这在一定程度上抵消了能源价格上涨带来的短期拖累。
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