节点：下游（终端消费/应用）位置：下游情绪：利好参考度：4/10
尽管白银市场预计将出现连续第6年的年度供应短缺，但彭博行业研究高级市场策略师麦格隆（Mike McGlone）在最新报告中重申对该贵金属的相对平淡预期，认为供应短缺可能不足以推动价格重回1月历史高点。当前银价处于无法持续站上80美元初始阻力位的局面，麦格隆指出，银价或在50美元至100美元之间徘徊数年。
麦格隆并未排除银价再次冲击1月创下的120美元高点的可能性，但强调价格上涨将导致供需动态发生根本性转变——原本的供应短缺局面会因抛物线式价格调整改变，市场可能过渡到由高价驱动的需求抑制阶段。他还指出，白银2025年中启动的反弹巅峰，其10年均线溢价达2.6倍，与2011年的抛物线行情惊人相似。
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