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镍不锈钢震荡整理 等待明确信号
南华期货分析指出,镍与不锈钢市场呈现震荡整理态势,后续需等待明确信号指引方向。
从 盘面表现 来看,沪镍主力合约日盘收于119,830元/吨,下跌0.3%;不锈钢主力合约日盘收于12,795元/吨,下跌0.27% ,显示出市场短期的波动。
行业表现方面 ,现货市场各品种价格有不同调整。金川镍、进口镍等现货价格有所变动,电池级硫酸镍均价为27,620元/吨,硫酸镍较镍豆溢价3,245.45元/镍吨,镍豆生产硫酸镍利润为 – 2.9%。8 – 12%高镍生铁出厂价为929元/镍点,304不锈钢冷轧卷利润率同样为 – 2.9%。库存方面,纯镍上期所库存、LME镍库存以及国内主要地区镍生铁库存等数据反映出市场的供需储备情况。
市场分析 认为,Ɨ..镍矿整体稳定,国内到港库存高位,印尼八月第二期基准价发布整体小幅下跌,且1 – 7月公布的矿产量不及预期 ,这对镍价形成一定潜在影响。镍铁短期相对坚挺,虽连续回调但利润承压,供给端存在挺价情绪,部分品位缺货 ,影响着市场的供应格局。
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镍不锈钢市场震荡,是等待政策指引,还是供需失衡?市场何时能给出明确信号?让人捉摸不透。