节点：中游（冶炼、中间品）位置：中游情绪：中性参考度：2/10


降息预期先行 等待下周落地【铝机构评论】

本文聚焦于铝市场动态，分析在降息预期下铝市场的表现及未来走向。

周四，电解铝主力10合约呈现偏强运行态势。当日开盘价20780 ，收盘价20915，最高价20920，最低价20750 ，夜盘高开后在21000附近震荡。沪铝社会库存方面，最新数据为61.8万吨，较上周四去库0.2万吨，周中去库1.1万吨，虽社库仍维持在60万吨以上，处于历史同期中等偏低水平，且预计拐点临近。现货铝锭报价为20840 – 20880元/吨，成交均价较周三上涨110元/吨至20860元/吨，现货对09合约报价贴水收敛至平水，下游拿货态..

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