节点:中游(冶炼、中间品)位置:中游情绪:利好参考度:6/10


议息会议前市场谨慎,铜价小幅回落【机构评论】

在周二的金属市场中,沪铜主力合约呈现高位震荡态势,而伦铜则在高位出现小幅回落。与此同时,中国近月C结构转变为平水状态,电解铜现货市场交易氛围清淡,下游企业因价格高企,多以满足刚需为目的进行采购。

从宏观层面来看,美国8月零售销售环比增长0.6% 。这一增长主要得益于学生开学购物潮,以及在线零售、服饰和体育用品销售的强劲反弹,带有明显季节性因素。然而,家具和百货商店的零售环比降幅较大。薪资增长与美股良好的财富效应,部分抵消了关税对经济增长的拖累。市场分析机构贝森特指出,美联储的政策反应往往滞后于市场预期。当前,9月降息25个基点的预期已被市场充分消化,市场正在对年底前降息75个基点的预期进行消化。美国就业市场总体保持平衡,市场密切关注美联储是维持中性立场还是转向宽松。此外,美国参议院投票通过特朗普推荐米兰进入美联储理ĺ..

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