位置：中游情绪：利好参考度：6/10
根据美国商业经济协会（NABE）的一项调查，强劲的商业投资预计将抵消消费与全球贸易增长放缓的影响，使美国经济维持接近正常水平的增长态势。然而，就业增长缓慢、失业率上升及通胀压力加大等因素，会对这一前景产生一定影响。
调查结论显示，特朗普政府新出台的进口关税持续拖累经济表现。参与调查的40位经济学家中，超六成认为这些关税将使经济增长率降低多达0.5个百分点，导致进出口减少，消费者价格上涨，且无人认为关税会促进经济增长。
不过，NABE此次调查报告修正了今年早些时候对美国经济前景更为悲观的看法，当时人们对关税经济冲击及全面贸易战风险的担忧达顶峰。最新调查中位数预测，2025年美国经济将增长1.8%，高于6月份调查预测的1.3%。
商业投资强劲，是此次调查的重要发现。Ȱ..
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