节点:中游(冶炼、中间品)位置:中游情绪:利好参考度:6/10


受全球贸易紧张局势加剧以及美联储降息预期的推动,周一,国际金银价格双双刷新历史高位。然而,高盛分析师在周日发布的报告中,敦促投资者谨慎看待银价上涨。

周一,现货白银涨幅一度超3%,报51.7美元/盎司,再创历史新高,之后涨幅回落至2.36%。今年以来,白银价格飙升逾70%,远超黄金50%的涨幅。

高盛周日表示,由于市场预期美联储降息,私人投资资金可能在中期内推动白银价格进一步上涨,这与金价受到的提振类似。不过,该行警告称,与黄金受益于央行结构性需求不同,银价近期的波动性和下行风险较大

投资需求是推动白银价格上涨的主要因素。高盛分析显示,白银购买量每新增1000吨,价格通常上涨1.6%左右。但高盛指出,黄金市场规模(含ETF基金持仓和投机性买盘)约4500亿美元,而白银仅约500亿美元,若投资...

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