节点:中游(冶炼、中间品)位置:中游情绪:利空参考度:4/10


《终端消费拖累,镍价持续走弱》

近期,镍市场呈现出供应压力明显,且受终端消费拖累,价格持续走弱的态势。

从宏观层面来看,海外美联储年末降息预期减弱。这一变化对镍市场产生了一定影响,因为降息预期的变动会影响市场资金的流向与风险偏好,进而间接作用于镍价。

产业方面,海外印尼已获批的2026年RKAB有效期可延续至2026年第一季度。这一政策变动对镍产业的长期供应规划产生影响,使得市场对未来一段时间内来自印尼的镍供应有了更明确预期。同时,中国港口库存有所下降,然而,11月LME镍库存与中国纯镍社会库存却攀升,内外库存延续累积状态,这表明镍供应压力依然显著 。

再看不锈钢市场,作为镍的重要下游 ..

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