节点:中游(冶炼、中间品)位置:中游情绪:利好参考度:8/10
隔夜内外铜价震荡走高【机构评论】
光大期货分析,隔夜内外铜价呈现震荡走高态势,这一走势受宏观经济、库存及需求等多方面因素影响。
从宏观层面来看,美国9月整体耐用品订单环比初值增长0.5%,与市场预期相符,但相较于8月2.9%的增幅,增长速度明显放缓。同时,美联储褐皮书显示美国经济活动近乎停滞,就业市场持续疲软,通胀压力依旧存在,使得货币政策面临挑战。不过,市场对美联储12月降息的预期概率有所回升。这种宏观经济环境的变化,对铜价产生了间接影响。
库存方面,虽具体数据未提及,但不同市场库存呈现不同变化。LME库存下降,Comex库存增加,SHFE铜仓单下降,BC铜维持一定水平。库存的变动会改变市场的供需平衡,是影响铜价的重要因素。例如...
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Given the mixed signals in the macro – economy, with the slowdown in US durable goods order growth and economic stagnation, but also the rising probability of a December Fed rate cut, how exactly will this complex situation impact the long – term copper price trend? And considering the varying inven…