节点:中游(冶炼、中间品)位置:中游情绪:利空参考度:9/10


伦敦期周三表现强势,价格突破11000美元关口,最高触及11025美元,创下近一个月以来的新高,单日涨幅达到1.6%。这一涨势背后,美联储降息预期升温成为核心驱动因素——美国近期公布的零售数据疲软,叠加消费者信心下滑,进一步强化了市场对美联储宽松货币政策的前景预期,为铜价提供了金融属性层面的支撑。

供应端的持续收紧同样支撑了市场看涨情绪。印尼Grasberg矿今年及明年的产量担忧尚未缓解,成为供应端的重要不确定性因素。分析师指出,铜市场正面临多重上行风险,预计到2026年,供需平衡将因供应挑战、低库存水平以及贸易扭曲等...

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