
节点:下游(终端消费/应用)位置:下游情绪:利空参考度:6/10
政策面与基本面博弈 沪镍高位震荡【机构评论】
日内基本金属集体收涨,沪镍封涨停;隔夜基本金属近全线回调,沪镍主力收跌1.44%,伦镍收跌4.21%。
印尼镍矿内贸基准价企稳,国内镍铁价格上涨,铁厂亏损持续收缩,低成本区域扭亏为盈,总体维持低产。下游部分不锈钢厂维持减产,最新社会库存继续大幅去化,但镍铁维持过剩格局。新能源领域,下游累积增速持续修复,硫 ..终端新能源汽车增速逐渐放缓。纯镍方面,国内外库存均增,LME库存维持在25万吨以上。
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既然镍铁过剩、国内外库存均增,新能源终端增速又放缓,沪镍短期高位震荡的支撑逻辑真的能持续吗?