
节点:中游(冶炼、中间品)位置:中游情绪:利空参考度:7/10
近期铝市场受资金及宏观因素交织影响。美国就业数据显示降温迹象,12月ADP就业人数及11月Jolts职位空缺数均低于预期,且Jolts前值下修;12月ISM非制造业PMI好于预期,当前市场预期美联储1月维持利率不变概率达89%。盘面上,铝价再创新高后部分资金获利了结并流入黑色板块,短期沪铝存在回调压力。中长期维持沪铝震荡偏强判断,短期建议等待回调后布局多单。
氧化铝价格波动核心因素为铝及焦煤焦炭等相关品种联动。受委内瑞拉事件影响,节后铝价大幅上涨,氧...但氧化铝行业当前仍处于过剩逻辑主导下,中期弱势格局不改,短期市场情绪偏积极背景下,建议逢高沽空操作。
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