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宏观情绪偏多，铜价关注上方压力

从宏观层面来看，全球经济形势复杂多变，对铜价产生了多方面影响。美国7月服务业PMI指数意外回落，美联储官员释放鸽派信号，9月降息预期升至95%，预计年内降息两次。受此影响，美元指数回落，美欧股市上涨并维持在纪录高位附近，风险情绪偏多。

同时，贸易政策变动频繁。特朗普签署行政令，提高印度商品关税，对芯片和半导体征100%关税，苹果获关税豁免需在美国增加投资。此外，特朗普称将与俄谈判，市场预期对俄油制裁可能放松，国际油价回落，但同时暗示可能对购买俄油的中国实施25%关税。

中国经济数据表现亮眼，7月出口增长8%，进口增长4.8%，商业联合会数据显示8月零售业景气指数上升，多地发放消费补贴额度，有望拉..

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