节点:下游(终端消费/应用)位置:下游情绪:利空参考度:10/10


当前,中国锂电厂商排产维持高景气,储能赛道已成为核心增长极。大东时代智库(TD)数据显示,3月中国锂电市场排产约219GWh,环比增长16.5%,其中储能电芯排产占比提升至40.6%;4月排产总量预计达235GWh,环比增7.3%,突破去年12月峰值,储能电芯占比进一步升至41.3%,结构性增长特征清晰。需求侧印证趋势:1-2月储能用锂电池产量同比增84%,累计销量84.8GWh同比增108.9%,国内新型储能新增装机24.18GWh同比激增472%,四组数据勾勒储能高景气图景。

海内外需求两旺,储能电芯价格同步回升。国内市场央/国企GWh级别储能集采频出:3月25日中国电气装备集团19.8GWh 314Ah电芯采购入围11家企业,同日国家电投5GWh、中广核7.2GWh储能系统集采落地,仅三家央企合计采购32GWh;今年以来华电12GWh、华能4GWh等框采先后落地。政策端,“十五五”规划纲要明确大力发展新型储能,其被列为六大新兴支柱产业之一,2026年政府工作报告连续第三年提及,政策与市场合力夯实国内需求景气底色。

海外市场储能订单规模高位运行。2026年1-2月中国储能企业斩获近50个海外订单,累计容量超33GWh,覆盖多地区及全产业链环节;3月以来大单频出:比亚迪拿下智利2.6GWh光储项目,阳光电源推进日本100座电网侧储能电站并获罗马尼亚2.5GWh协议,瑞浦兰钧签欧洲8.3GWh订单等。欧洲作为最大增量市场,客户询单量创新高,部分产品被提前预定。全球储能需求不依赖单一市场,多家机构共识2026年全球装机同比增...

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